Which Premier League Manager will be first to get sacked?

Updated: October 9, 2012

As October is well and truly upon us, Sportsnewsireland felt that now is as good a time as any to take a look at the Premier League managers who might have more time than they wanted to get their Christmas shopping sorted.

Unsurprisingly Mark Hughes leads the betting at 5/4. Despite Q.P.R chairman Tony Fernandes giving Hughes his backing, Q.P.R’s form has been simply abysmal since Hughes took over at Loftus Road last January. There have of course been a host of new faces that need to be integrated into a new style and a new team but Hughes’ record cannot be disguised as anything other than relegation standard. It reads P25 W6 D4 L15. Priority number one has to be the defence which has leaked goals at an alarming rate so far this season.

The sack race odds table is one of those odd misnomers in sport where it is better to be at the bottom of the table than the top. Unfortunately for Nigel Adkins he is firmly located in the Champions League spots of the sack race, second favourite to get the boot first at 2/1. Given the paltry amount of money Southampton have spent in comparison to Hughes and Q.P.R is perhaps a little harsh. Now that Southampton have gotten through a horrible run of fixtures that included arsenal and both Manchester clubs, the future for Nigel Adkins looks slightly rosier as they begin to pick up points.

One of the favourites to replace Trap as Ireland manager is next in the betting with bookies believing Chris Hughton to be the third most likely boss to get it in the neck first. Norwich are struggling and Hughton is not helped by having to follow in the footsteps of Paul Lambert who did a superb job not only getting the canaries promoted but also keeping them in the top flight.

Surprisingly things have not gone as well as planned for Lambert at Aston Villa, he is been cut some slack by the board and fans given the memory of the dour Scotsman Alex McLeish is still fresh in the memory. It is unlikely this patience will last forever though and Villa, currently languishing two points above the relegation zone need to start performing. Given their precarious league position, it is somewhat surprising that Lambert is 40/1 to get the sack first.

Interestingly both Roberto di Matteo and Brendan Rodgers are more likely to be sacked before Lambert at 25/1. Despite winning Roman Abramovich’s prized Champions League last year and sitting atop the league table, Di Matteo works under conditions like no other manager and must contend with the metaphorical axe swinging precariously over his head at all times. Rodgers on the other hand has had a poor start to his Anfield career and while his attempts to impose his philosophy on his players appear to be working gradually, results have not matched expectations of Liverpool’s American owners.

Rodgers’ successor at Swansea Michael Laudrup enjoyed a promising start to the season but have regressed badly making him a 16/1 to be high tailing it back to Denmark in the not so distant future.

While there is no certainty in predicting the first manager to go, one can generally assume that at least one of these managers will be out to pasture by the time the January transfer window opens.

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