Home Rugby Rugby Irish Ireland v Argentina Preview 2026: Team, Odds & Prediction

Ireland v Argentina Preview 2026: Team, Odds & Prediction

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SPORTSNEWSIRELAND • RUGBY
4 NOVEMBER 2026
NATIONS CHAMPIONSHIP • TEAM ANNOUNCEMENT

Ireland v Argentina: Farrell Makes Six Changes as Jansen Starts and Casey Gets the Nod

Andy Farrell has named his Ireland team for Friday’s clash with Argentina, handing Connacht’s Sean Jansen his first Test start, recalling Mack Hansen and selecting Craig Casey ahead of Jamison Gibson-Park.

CONFIRMED IRELAND XV
TEAM ANALYSIS
WORLD CUP 2027
FORM & ODDS

🇮🇪
Ireland
VS
8.10pm
🇦🇷
Argentina
Friday 6 November
Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Virgin Media One / ITV

Andy Farrell has made six changes to the Ireland side beaten by New Zealand in July, with Craig Casey, Nick Timoney and Sean Jansen among the headline selections for Friday night’s Nations Championship encounter with Argentina at the Aviva Stadium.

Sam Prendergast has recovered from a wrist injury to start at out-half, while Mack Hansen returns to international rugby for the first time in a year.

Farrell has also opted to start Casey ahead of Jamison Gibson-Park, with Nick Timoney preferred to Josh van der Flier and James Ryan named among the replacements.

Captain Dan Sheehan leads Ireland into their November campaign, which continues against Fiji and South Africa later this month.

Argentina arrive in Dublin with just one victory from their last five matches, but the Pumas have remained competitive against several leading international sides. Ireland are 10-point favourites, although recent results suggest a closer contest is possible.

There is also a significant World Cup subplot, with the countries potentially on course to meet in the quarter-finals in Australia next year.

Six Changes: Farrell Makes His Selection Statement

The most significant decision is at scrum-half, where Craig Casey has been selected ahead of Jamison Gibson-Park.

Gibson-Park has been central to Ireland’s attacking game for several seasons, but Farrell has given Casey the opportunity to direct proceedings from the start.

Casey partners Sam Prendergast, who has recovered from the wrist injury that threatened his involvement.

With Jack Crowley unavailable, Friday represents an important opportunity for Prendergast to demonstrate his ability to control a Test match against physical opposition.

Timoney Gets the Nod Ahead of Van der Flier

Farrell has made another notable call at openside flanker, selecting Ulster’s Nick Timoney ahead of Josh van der Flier.

Timoney joins Ryan Baird and Sean Jansen in a reshaped back row, with Caelan Doris and Jack Conan both unavailable.

The combination offers plenty of athleticism and carrying power, but Argentina will test its defensive organisation and ability to secure quick possession.

James Ryan Among the Replacements

Joe McCarthy and Tadhg Beirne start in the second row, with James Ryan held in reserve.

That allows Baird to operate at blindside flanker and gives Ireland an experienced option from the bench if the match becomes a physical battle in the closing stages.

Confirmed Ireland Team v Argentina

Farrell has selected the following starting XV for Friday night’s Nations Championship clash.

🇮🇪 Official Ireland Starting XV • Backs
15
Hugo
Keenan
11
Mack
Hansen
12
Stuart
McCloskey
13
Robbie
Henshaw
14
Robert
Baloucoune
9
Craig
Casey
10
Sam
Prendergast
Forwards
6
Ryan
Baird
8
Sean
Jansen
7
Nick
Timoney
4
Joe
McCarthy
5
Tadhg
Beirne
1
Andrew
Porter
2
Dan Sheehan
(Captain)
3
Tadhg
Furlong

Ireland Replacements

16 Rónan Kelleher
17 Tom O’Toole
18 Sam Illo
19 James Ryan
20 Josh van der Flier
21 Jamison Gibson-Park
22 Ciarán Frawley
23 Bundee Aki

Ireland have selected a five-three split on the bench, with experienced replacements available across the forwards and backs.

Gibson-Park, Frawley and Aki offer considerable international experience if Ireland need to change their attacking approach during the second half.

Connacht’s Sean Jansen Makes First Test Start

For Connacht supporters, Sean Jansen’s selection at number eight is one of the biggest stories of the Ireland team announcement.

The Connacht forward made his international debut during the summer and now earns his first Test start against a powerful Argentine pack.

With Doris and Conan unavailable, Jansen has an opportunity to demonstrate that he can provide the carrying power and physicality required at international level.

However, the challenge extends beyond his work with ball in hand. Ireland need their number eight to provide defensive organisation, secure possession and make good decisions under pressure.

Argentina’s experienced back row will provide a demanding examination of those qualities.

Mack Hansen Returns After a Year Away

There is also a welcome return for Mack Hansen, who makes his first Ireland appearance in a year.

The Connacht winger starts on the left, with Robert Baloucoune on the opposite wing and Hugo Keenan at full-back.

Hansen’s creativity, aerial ability and willingness to come off his wing provide Ireland with an important additional attacking option.

Sam Illo Set for Aviva Stadium Debut

Connacht prop Sam Illo is named among the replacements and is in line for his first Ireland appearance at the Aviva Stadium.

Bundee Aki is also among the replacements, giving Ireland a powerful midfield option from the bench.

PROVINCIAL BREAKDOWN

Four Connacht players feature in the match-day 23: Sean Jansen, Mack Hansen, Sam Illo and Bundee Aki.

Across the squad, Leinster provide 13 players, Ulster four, Connacht four and Munster two.

World Cup 2027: Could Ireland Face Argentina in the Quarter-Finals?

Friday’s fixture has an intriguing World Cup connection, with Ireland and Argentina potentially on course for another knockout meeting in Australia next year.

Ireland are in Pool D alongside Scotland, Uruguay and Portugal, while Argentina are in Pool C with Fiji, Spain and Canada.

2027 RUGBY WORLD CUP

Potential Ireland v Argentina Quarter-Final

Sunday, 31 October 2027

Brisbane Stadium, Australia

IRELAND 🇮🇪
Win Pool D
Win Round of 16
×
ARGENTINA 🇦🇷
Win Pool C
Win Round of 16

If both countries top their groups and win their round-of-16 matches, they are on course to meet in Brisbane.

The pairing remains conditional on the pool standings and knockout results.

Ireland Rugby World Cup 2027: Full Fixtures, Times and Route to the Final →

Ireland have never reached a Rugby World Cup semi-final, while Argentina have reached the last four on three occasions.

The Pumas have also beaten Ireland three times at the tournament, including the 43-20 quarter-final victory in Cardiff in 2015.

Although Friday’s result will have no direct bearing on the 2027 knockout draw, it offers Farrell an opportunity to assess his squad against a possible future opponent.

Ireland v Argentina Head-to-Head Record

Ireland have won their last four encounters with Argentina, although three of those victories came by 11 points or fewer.

4
Consecutive Ireland wins
3–1
Argentina’s World Cup record
22–19
Result in 2024
Date Result Competition
15 Nov 2024 Ireland 22–19 Argentina Autumn Test
21 Nov 2021 Ireland 53–7 Argentina Autumn Test
10 Nov 2018 Ireland 28–17 Argentina Autumn Test
25 Nov 2017 Ireland 28–19 Argentina Autumn Test
18 Oct 2015 Ireland 20–43 Argentina World Cup QF

Ireland have scored 151 points and conceded 105 in those five meetings.

The most recent encounter in November 2024 was particularly close. Ireland established an early advantage but struggled to maintain control, eventually surviving a late Argentine comeback to win 22-19.

The 53-7 victory in 2021 stands out, but Argentina have generally proved much more difficult to put away.

Ireland v Argentina: Recent Form

Ireland enter Friday’s fixture having won four of their last five matches, while Argentina have won just once in the same period.

🇮🇪 Ireland
Four wins, one defeat
LNew Zealand (A)21–40
WJapan (A)36–20
WAustralia (A)33–31
WScotland (H)43–21
WWales (H)27–17
🇦🇷 Argentina
One win, one draw, three defeats
DAustralia (H)28–28
LAustralia (H)21–27
LSouth Africa (H)10–17
LEngland (H)24–31
WWales (H)35–21
32.0
Ireland average points scored
23.6
Argentina average points scored
24.8
Argentina average points conceded
THE KEY FORM STATISTIC

Argentina have stayed within seven points of their opponents in each of their last four matches.

They lost to England by seven, South Africa by seven and Australia by six before drawing 28-28 with the Wallabies.

Ireland have scored 160 points in their last five matches, averaging 32 per game, but have also conceded 129 points.

Argentina have scored 118 and conceded 124 over the same number of matches.

The statistics suggest Ireland possess the stronger attack, but both defences have shown vulnerabilities.

Argentina Team News and Key Threats

Argentina head coach Felipe Contepomi has made extensive changes from the side that drew 28-28 with Australia in September.

The Pumas are without Santiago Carreras and Thomas Gallo through injury, but retain considerable experience and physicality in their squad.

Pablo Matera

The experienced back-row forward remains central to Argentina’s plans. His carrying, breakdown work and aggression will test Ireland’s new-look back row.

Marcos Kremer

A powerful defender capable of disrupting Ireland’s attacking rhythm through dominant collisions and relentless work around the breakdown.

Juan Cruz Mallía

A dangerous attacking player whose pace and counter-attacking ability could punish inaccurate Irish kicking.

Argentina’s ability to turn loose possession into attacking opportunities remains one of their greatest strengths.

Paul O’Connell Warns Ireland About Argentina

Ireland assistant coach Paul O’Connell has highlighted the Pumas’ attacking quality and recalled the difficulties Ireland experienced in their narrow victory two years ago.

“Some phenomenal athletes, with great feet.”

Paul O’Connell, speaking about Argentina to RTÉ Sport.

Reflecting on the 2024 encounter, O’Connell acknowledged how close Ireland came to defeat.

“We were lucky to win the game in the end.”

Paul O’Connell, Ireland assistant coach.

The warning is particularly relevant given Argentina’s recent record of narrow defeats against leading international opponents.

Three Key Battles That Could Decide the Match

1. Casey and Prendergast Against Argentina’s Defensive Pressure

Ireland’s new half-back combination will be under immediate scrutiny.

Casey must provide quick service and control the tempo, while Prendergast needs to manage territory and avoid giving Argentina opportunities to counter-attack.

2. Jansen, Timoney and Baird in the Back Row

Farrell’s reshaped back row offers athleticism and carrying power but lacks the established combination of Doris, van der Flier and Beirne.

Argentina will test Ireland at the breakdown, particularly if the game becomes a physical contest with slow possession.

3. Ireland’s Bench Could Be Decisive

Gibson-Park, van der Flier, James Ryan and Bundee Aki provide Farrell with considerable experience among the replacements.

If the game remains close entering the final quarter, Ireland’s bench could prove decisive.

Ireland v Argentina Betting Odds and Handicap

Ireland are strong favourites to win Friday’s encounter, with bookmakers offering odds of 2/9 on an Irish victory compared with 10/3 for Argentina.

BOOKMAKER ODDS • 3 NOVEMBER 2026
Ireland
2/9
Draw
22/1
Argentina
10/3
Market Odds
Ireland -10 points 10/11
Handicap draw (-10) 22/1
Argentina +10 points 10/11
Over 54.5 points 10/11
Under 54.5 points 4/5

Odds are from a bookmaker screenshot supplied on 3 November and are not live prices. The handicap is a three-way market, with an Ireland victory by exactly 10 points producing a handicap draw.

The 10-point handicap is particularly interesting given Argentina’s recent form.

The Pumas have stayed within seven points of their opponents in each of their last four matches, while Ireland have made several significant changes to their starting team.

The total points line of 54.5 suggests expectations of a relatively open encounter, with both sides having conceded an average of more than 24 points per game across their last five fixtures.

SPORTSNEWSIRELAND VERDICT

Ireland v Argentina Prediction

Ireland deserve to start as favourites. They have won four of their last five matches, possess considerable attacking quality and have an excellent recent record against Argentina.

However, Farrell’s team selection introduces some uncertainty.

Casey and Prendergast must establish control at half-back, while Jansen, Timoney and Baird face a demanding physical examination in the back row.

Argentina have been difficult to put away in recent matches, and their ability to compete at the breakdown could keep the contest close.

Ireland’s experienced bench may ultimately provide the difference.

🇮🇪 Ireland
31
–
🇦🇷 Argentina
24

Prediction: Ireland to win by seven points.

The projected score would leave Argentina within the bookmaker’s 10-point handicap. This is an editorial forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Ireland v Argentina: Frequently Asked Questions

When is Ireland v Argentina?

Friday, 6 November 2026, at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin.

What time is Ireland v Argentina?

Kick-off is scheduled for 8.10pm Irish time.

What channel is Ireland v Argentina on?

Virgin Media One in Ireland and ITV in the United Kingdom.

Who is Ireland’s captain?

Dan Sheehan captains Ireland against Argentina.

Who starts at scrum-half for Ireland?

Craig Casey starts ahead of Jamison Gibson-Park, who is named among the replacements.

Is Mack Hansen playing against Argentina?

Yes. Hansen starts on the left wing, making his first Ireland appearance in a year.

Who is Ireland’s number eight?

Connacht’s Sean Jansen makes his first Test start at number eight.

Could Ireland face Argentina at the 2027 World Cup?

Yes. If both countries win their respective pools and progress through the round of 16, they are on course to meet in the quarter-finals in Brisbane on 31 October 2027.

What is the Ireland v Argentina prediction?

SportsNewsIRELAND predicts Ireland to win 31-24.

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